We’re on to Week 11 of the college football season.

My primary goal here is to simply share a few key angles, notable matchups, regression signals and injury situations for each particular game that hopefully help you make more informed wagers.

Looking to Saturday, I have highlighted my four favorite noon betting spots for Saturday’s college football slate.

Keep in mind the actual spread value still reigns supreme. No matter how great a situational spot appears on paper, I still have to factor in how much value the number holds compared to my projections. A good or bad spot may sway me one way or the other on a bet I’m on the fence for, but it’s certainly more art than science.

All lines referenced are current as of the time of writing, which I bet and logged on the Action App. For your convenience, I included what number I’d play each to in case the market has moved a bit or you read this later in the week.

For full reference of all my spots for Week 11, here’s the full piece.

  • 2022: 45-20-1 +22.82 units (69.2%)
  • 2023: 41-35-0 +1.51 units (53.9%)
  • Overall: 86-55-1 +24.33 units (61.0%)

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Penn State +5.5 vs. Michigan

12 p.m. ET â‹… FOX

I’ve been wrong on every Penn State side this season. Some have been bad calls, while others have been brutal bad beats. Nonetheless, I’d like to congratulate all Michigan fans and bettors in advance.

I really should know better. After the Nittany Lions blow out an inferior opponent, it would be on brand for “small game James” to come up short once again against an elite team.

However, that would require some form of intelligence, which I clearly have demonstrated countless times over the years I simply don’t have. So, I’m reluctantly backing the home team I project as a three-point underdog.

From a matchup perspective, I still have questions about this Michigan offensive line in the run-blocking…

Read the full article here

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